henry copeland @hc

Creating https://t.co/yaIkIOcF20, an online toolkit the average person can use for personal (n-of-1) experiments. Way back when: Y84, bond trader, journalist.

Recent quotes:

German

Zumutung (exorbitantly unreasonable demand).

Proposed Cuts to SSI Would Hurt Disabled Children and Their Families | Center on Budget and Policy Priorities

SSI provides monthly benefits to low-income seniors and disabled people, including children; it is the only federal income support targeted to families caring for children with disabilities and reaches only the lowest-income and most severely impaired children, who tend to need the most significant support. These children have conditions such as Down syndrome, cerebral palsy, autism, intellectual disability, and blindness. About 1 million households with disabled children receive SSI benefits averaging about $800 a month.

Terminating pandemics with smartwatches | PNAS Nexus | Oxford Academic

Smartwatches can detect physiological factors that may be associated with infection such as changes in heart rate and heart rate variability, sleep patterns, activity levels, and skin temperature (11, 12). When integrated with machine learning models, these digital biomarkers of infection have been shown to be useful in detecting infections before symptom onset (11, 13).

Terminating pandemics with smartwatches | PNAS Nexus | Oxford Academic

The smartwatch's day of disease detection and accuracy vary between pathogens and were informed using data from randomized clinical trials (11, 13, 17). We estimated that smartwatches would have 88% sensitivity in detecting COVID-19 variants (13), 90% sensitivity in detecting pandemic influenza (11), and 94% sensitivity in detecting seasonal influenza (17) and that smartwatches could detect COVID-19 infection 3 days before symptom onset (13), pandemic influenza 36 h before symptom onset (11), and seasonal influenza 23 h before symptom onset (17).

The Carter Reader | Carter Brooks | Substack

I’ve found cultivating this quality of being ok being overwhelmed is mostly about reframing things. For example, reframing the purpose of meditation from an effort to calm the world down, to instead cultivating enough experience of stillness to be able to stay centered in the chaotic moments. One can also put oneself into more chaotic situations intentionally, to build capacity to endure them, which is why going to Burning Man is not just hedonistic fucking off, but can also be an important collective muscle building for the anticipated future unfolding. For Trump’s reelection the challenge is to stay focused and manage the consequences without getting thrown off by the cruel intent and the flaunting of asshole politics.

The exercise type that will help you beat insomnia

Using this, detailed analysis showed that strength/resistance exercise improved the PSQI by 5.75 points. Aerobic exercise improved the PQSI by 3.76 while combination exercise improved it by 2.54. The researchers concluded: “Exercise that strengthens muscles, rather than aerobic or combination exercises, is the most effective way to enhance sleep quality.”

Does Anyone Really Know You? | The New Yorker

The philosopher Stanley Cavell describes it beautifully in an essay about Frank Capra’s movie “It Happened One Night.” In the movie, an heiress named Ellie has fallen in love with Peter, a reporter, but hasn’t told him yet; she asks him if he’s ever fallen in love. (“Haven’t you ever thought about it at all? Seems to me you could make some girl wonderfully happy.”) He’s dreamed about meeting the right kind of girl, he says, and imagined taking her away to a beautiful tropical island, but “where you gonna find her? Somebody that’s real. Somebody that’s alive.” She’s right there in front of him, of course. “Why can he not allow the woman of his dreams to enter his dream?” Cavell asks. The answer, he thinks, is that “to walk in the direction of one’s dream is necessarily to risk the dream.” If Peter and Ellie are to really know one another, they have to merge dreams and reality. This is like “putting together night and day.” It’s scary.

Parkinson's Disease Risk Tied to Sleep Apnea | MedPage Today

Of veterans with sleep apnea, 9.9% had documented use of a CPAP machine. Those who started CPAP early -- within 2 years of OSA onset -- had 2.3 fewer cases of Parkinson's per 1,000 (P<0.001) compared with those who did not use CPAP, the researchers reported in an abstract released ahead of the American Academy of Neurology opens in a new tab or window annual meeting. Those who started CPAP later than 2 years after OSA onset had a similar risk of Parkinson's disease as those who did not use CPAP at all.

Bessent Says Housing Will ‘Unfreeze’ in Weeks, Sees 2% Inflation - Bloomberg

“The housing market is stuck now, but I would expect that the housing market, sometime in the next few weeks, is going to unfreeze,” Bessent said.

Levi & Korsinsky Notifies Shareholders of The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) of a Class Action Lawsuit and an Upcoming Deadline

(1) Trade Desk was experiencing significant, ongoing, self-inflicted execution challenges rolling out the Company's AI forecasting tool, Kokai, including transitioning clients to Kokai from the Company's older platform Solimar; (2) such execution challenges meaningfully delayed the Kokai Rollout; (3) Trade Desk's inability to effectively execute the Kokai Rollout negatively impacted the Company's business and operations, particularly revenue growth; and (4) as a result of the above, Defendants' positive statements about the Company's business, operations, and prospects were materially false and misleading and/or lacked a reasonable basis at all relevant times.

Trump Blasts USA as 'Bloated and Fat and Disgusting'

“This country has gotten bloated, fat, disgusting, and incompetently run,” Trump added, before insulting Biden. “I think we had the worst president in the history of our country. He just left office. I think he’s a disgrace what he’s done to our country by allowing millions of people to come into our country like that and all of the other things he inflation, which he caused because of energy and stupid spending to spend hundreds of millions, trillions and trillions of dollars on the green new scam, a total scam.”

The Hidden History of Trump’s First Trip to Moscow - POLITICO Magazine

According to The Art of the Deal, Trump toured “a half dozen potential sites for a hotel, including several near Red Square.” “I was impressed with the ambition of Soviet officials to make a deal,” he writes. He also visited Leningrad, later St. Petersburg. A photo shows Donald and Ivana standing in Palace Square—he in a suit, she in a red polka dot blouse with a string of pearls. Behind them are the Winter Palace and the state Hermitage museum.

How Does Budget Reconciliation Work? - Center for American Progress

Budget reconciliation (or simply “reconciliation”) is a special congressional procedure that allows for easier passage of tax and spending changes—as long as the changes adhere to certain rules. Congress can pass most bills with a simple majority in the House of Representatives, but 60 votes are needed in the Senate due to the filibuster. However, there are a few limited paths in the Senate to avoid a filibuster entirely and so pass a bill with a simple majority. The most well-known of these paths is a “privileged” process called budget reconciliation.

Donald Trump was recruited by KGB with codename 'Krasnov', claims ex-Soviet spy - Mirror Online

A former Soviet intelligence officer has claimed Donald Trump was recruited by the KGB in 1987 and given the codename “Krasnov”. The bombshell allegation was made by Alnur Mussayev, a former Kazakh intelligence chief, in a Facebook post. The 71-year-old, who previously headed Kazakhstan’s National Security Committee, said he had served in the 6th Directorate of the KGB in Moscow, which was responsible for counter-intelligence support within the economy.

Micro-trends are dead. Long live the vibe | Vogue Business

“Now, fashion is about a vibe, which is not just an aesthetic, but a whole mood,” wrote journalist Jess Cartner-Morley in The Guardian. “The thrill of a vibe is that it leads with emotion, not with spending power. It feels like playing hooky from a world where we are kettled by capitalism,” she continued, emphasising the shift towards truly living your life rather than simply purchasing a lifestyle through trending products. “In the fashion industry, the shift from trends to vibes is in part about the way the clock that fashion ticks on has changed,” continues Cartner-Morley, speaking to Vogue Business. “The new schedule doesn’t have set seasons, but is both endlessly changing and incremental, and that’s how vibes work. A vibe sparks, swells, grows, fades away. That could take a week, or it could take two years.”

New research backs up what gamers have thought for years: cozy video games can be an antidote to stress and anxiety.

Other studies also point to a shift in perceptions of gaming. “As more research has emerged related to video games, we're beginning to recognize that they can actually offer a lot of benefits,” said Michael Wong, an assistant professor in the Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Neurosciences at McMaster University and former professor at the University of Wisconsin-La Crosse Wong surveyed 80 undergraduate students at the University of Wisconsin-La Crosse to uncover whether mindfulness meditation or “casual” gaming was better at reducing stress. The study published in 2021 measured the effectiveness of playing a casual game like Flower, developed by Thatgamecompany, against a 20-minute mindfulness meditation session in reducing stress. “To our surprise, there really wasn't a difference between the two forms of interventions. For blood pressure and heart rate, there was no statistically significant difference between playing a video game and engaging in meditation,” Wong said.

Opinion | How Trump Could Get Us Into a Debt Crisis - The New York Times

Imagine if Mr. Trump threatens to withhold debt payments to China, prompting the Chinese to sell their nearly $1 trillion portfolio of U.S. debt. The sell-off would be likely to make financial markets jittery. But would it end there? Would other foreign investors, who together hold nearly a third of outstanding Treasuries, worry they might be next? Political blunders have always been the more concerning potential trigger for an American fiscal crisis. We are not discounting the economic costs of carrying a nearly $2 trillion deficit, one that is likely to increase over time. Rising federal borrowing competes with private-sector investments for people’s savings. To entice investors to lend increasing amounts to the federal government, Treasury rates have to rise. That pushes up interest rates across the economy, which means businesses have to pay higher rates when they borrow. As a result, there is less private investment and ultimately less wealth for future generations. Those effects are unfavorable, but slow and predictable. The political threat is more acute and builds on years of dysfunction in how the government manages the country’s finances.

Blocking mobile internet on smartphones improves sustained attention, mental health, and subjective well-being | PNAS Nexus | Oxford Academic

. We report such an experiment, finding that blocking mobile internet for 2 weeks reduces smartphone use and improves subjective well-being (SWB) (including life satisfaction and positive affect), mental health (more than antidepressants), and sustained attention (as much as being 10 years younger). Despite the many benefits mobile internet offers, reducing the constant connection to the digital world can have large positive effects.

Cholesterol Levels to Aim For After a Coronary

LDL cholesterol targets. Studies have shown that when LDL, or "bad," cholesterol drops below 70 mg/dL, plaques in arteries get smaller and can stabilize. This can also lower your risk for heart attacks and stroke. Some clinical guidelines suggest lowering your "bad" LDL cholesterol below 55 mg/dL, while other guidelines simply recommend that you cut your LDL levels in half.

The Bookseller - News - To blurb or not to blurb: UK trade weighs in on author quotes in 2025

North asked her readers on Instagram and Facebook about blurbs and was “staggered” both by the huge volume of responses and feedback that they “don’t give a fig” for author blurbs. She said: “What I learned very quickly from almost 200 comments [in one day], is that readers don’t want to be preached at with quotes. They want to have immediate access to the cover copy... to make their judgment on the quality of the cover, on how appetising and enticing the book appears to be from the quality of the cover copy and they don’t want that hidden or compromised by a whole load of quotes that they don’t really care about and they don’t really trust.”

NIH’s funding cut plan poses challenges for researchers despite court halt

“If the on­ly way to get re­im­bursed for this mul­ti-mil­lion dol­lar equip­ment is to on­ly let one grant use it at a time, so that they can charge it as di­rect, that may be some­thing that we start to see,” he said. Re­gard­less of the out­come in court, Pe­tel said “peo­ple are go­ing to be more hes­i­tant to spend the time and ef­fort in putting to­geth­er grant ap­pli­ca­tions.” “It’s a lot of work, a lot of time, a lot of mon­ey to even ap­ply for these grants, and they go through months and months of scruti­ny and back and forth,” he said.

The Golden Goose - by Rajiv Sethi - Imperfect Information

It’s important to understand that the NIH announcement is just the opening salvo in an all-out assault on universities that has yet to begin in earnest. Other initiatives currently being contemplated include the leveraging of the accreditation process to force major changes to the curriculum, the filing of federal civil rights cases, and the taxation and partial confiscation of endowments. We may also see selective denials of visas for foreign students and the targeted freezing of federal grants and contracts. The sitting Vice President has described American universities as the enemy.

Less is more, and discounts work: A new study looks at the minutiae of paywall strategy | Nieman Journalism Lab

Less is more, and discounts work: A new study looks at the minutiae of paywall strategy

Putting Diabetes Into Remission; Does Prehabilitation Work? | MedPage Today

There are all three available, but only two of which have been shown to have cardioprotective effects. What we had presupposed was that anything that lowered the hemoglobin A1C would be beneficial, and the more you lowered it, the more beneficial it would be. Even though the SGLT2 inhibitors had smaller reductions in A1C, they were the ones that were most effective in the older population, so there's not a direct correlation. Furthermore, only two of the three showed cardioprotective effects. The DPP-4 inhibitors did not show cardioprotective effects, even though they were just as effective on lowering in the A1C.

The Athletic Will Officially Launch Its First Game During the Big Game, Bringing Sports and Puzzle Fans a Daily Challenge to Test Their Sports Knowledge | The New York Times Company

“Building off the enthusiasm surrounding Connections and the passion sports fans have for competition and bragging rights, we combined the puzzle expertise of the New York Times Games team with the sports expertise of The Athletic to create our first game catering to sports fans,” said David Perpich, publisher of The Athletic. “We know fans already turn to The Athletic for deep reporting on their favorite teams and leagues, and Connections: Sports Edition feels like the perfect opportunity for them to pair their sports knowledge with fun wordplay. And what better time to officially launch than during the biggest game day of the year.”

Where to Invest $1 Million Right Now: Nuclear, Mergers, Watches, Helicopters

My biggest worry is valuation. US large-cap stocks and the S&P 500 in particular are overvalued by 25%. That can’t be made up by earnings alone. Expensive markets can stay expensive and other metrics we track are still pretty positive. But if I’m allocating new money I’d probably steer away from the Mag 7 and mega-cap tech, where I wouldn’t be surprised if we saw a replay of 2000 — all it takes is a catalyst. It’s a dangerous valuation environment.