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Morning Must-Read: James D. Hamilton, Ethan S. Harris, Jan Hatzius, and Kenneth D. West: The Equilibrium Real Funds Rate: Past, Present and Future - Washington Center for Equitable Growth
The uncertainty around the equilibrium rate argues for more ‘inertial’ monetary policy than implied by standard versions of the Taylor rule… a later but steeper normalization path for the funds rate compared with the median ‘dot’ in the FOMC’s Summary of Economic Projections.
