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The IPCC’s And McKitrick’s “Hiatus” Time Series Models | William M. Briggs
Because the IPCC’s model said temperatures would be high these past eighteen or so years, when in reality the temperature bounced around but did nothing special, the IPCC has taken to calling reality a “pause” or “hiatus”. Everybody must understand that this “hiatus” is model-relative. It has nothing to do with reality. Reality doesn’t know squat about the IPCC’s model. The reality versus the model-relative “hiatus” is how we know the IPCC’s model stinks.
If the IPCC’s model did not stink, it would have predicted the reality we saw. It did not predict it. Therefore the model stinks. The debate really is over.